Wednesday, June 29, 2011

David Haye vs Wladimir Klitschko analysis and prediction

By Daniel R: On June 25th or July 2nd, WBA heavyweight champion David Haye and IBF/WBO heavyweight champion Wladimir Klitschko will finally square off in the most anticipated heavyweight fight in years. This is my analysis and prediction of the fight.

Firstly, Haye has without a doubt injected life into a dead division and is finally stepping up in class by facing Wladimir where we will be able to see just how good he is. His main attribute is his speed, coming up from cruiserweight he is the fastest and most athletic heavyweight out there. His movement and evasiveness has proven to work which was evident in the Nikolay Valuev fight where he circled the ring and used his speed to get in and out without getting hit.

I think this will cause big problems for Wladimir who has not fought anyone who is as quick on their feet and evasive as Haye is. Another attribute for Haye is his power. By making Valuev do a dance in the 12th round, flooring John Ruiz with the first right hand and completely destroying Audley Harrison, his power cannot be denied and all of these fighters had better chins than Wladimir. However, Haye’s level of opposition is clearly not great, with only four fights at heavyweight against B class fighters in Valuev and Ruiz and C class fighters in Harrison and Barrett.

Haye cannot criticize either of the Klitschko’s of fighting nobodies, and Wladimir is a major step up from recent opposition. Lastly, Haye’s punch resistance is a big question, having been knocked down at cruiserweight and hurt in the Barrett fight it is clear he lacks good punch resistance and if he is getting dropped by cruiserweights you can’t help but wonder what happens when Wladimir lands a solid right hand or left hook.

Secondly, Wladimir Klitschko, a very safe fighter however has one of the best jabs in boxing and immense power. In his most recent fight destroying Samuel Peter, Wladimir’s jab-jab-jab and right hand have proven to be a deadly combination. I believe Wladimir is the hardest hitter in boxing and with impressive knockout wins over Eddie Chambers and Peter this is evident.

Considering he’s a 6ft 6 240lbs guy his speed is also impressive, not to the level of Haye’s speed but he is still the fastest heavyweight Haye has faced and I think Haye underestimates Wladimir’s speed and with his hands held at his waist this could cause Haye problems. But despite all this like Haye Wladimir doesn’t have the greatest chin being knocked out three times most notably by Corrie Sanders and Chris Byrd who were both fast which makes this fight even more interesting.

After considering all of this, the outcome of the fight depends on who lands the first meaningful punch and my prediction is a knockout win for Haye in the 3rd or 4th round. I think Hayes speed will be the determining factor, I see Haye using quick movement to avoid the Klitschko jab leaving Wladimir puzzled as he has never fought anyone like this before and I see Haye getting in and out landing hard combinations to the chin of Wladimir eventually knocking him out. However, this is a fight with two of the hardest hitters in boxing and I would not be surprised at all to see Haye crumble after getting hit with the first meaningful punch from Wladimir.



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